National Debt and Deficit Metrics

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Debt Burden / Revenue Capacity Candidate Cache Review

Generated: 2026-05-23T00:35:18Z

Display note: PP = percentage points. Red text marks an unfavorable directional movement based on the Direction Review field. Red does not mean the metric is scored, failed, or publicly graded.

Item	Status
Rows Reviewed	3
Debt Burden Value Rows	3
Conditional Merge-Eligible After Human Approval	3
Review-Only / Not Merged Rows	3
Source Status	LIVE FRED CSV CONFIRMED
Blockers	0
Scoring	Disabled
Release Status	CANDIDATE ONLY DEBT BURDEN CACHE READY FOR REVIEW NO SCORING
Milestone	DEBT BURDEN CANDIDATE CACHE READY FOR REVIEW

Review-Only Candidate Rows

Metric ID	Candidate Metric	Latest Value	Observation Period	Trend	Trend Window	Direction Review	Source	Limitation Note	Status / Recommended Action
NDD-MET-021	Federal debt held by the public per person	$90,135 per person	2025 Q4 debt / Dec 2025 population	+$5,541	2025 Q4 vs 2024 Q4	Worsening direction if per-person public debt burden rises.	FRED / U.S. Treasury Fiscal Service / OMB / Census/BEA population	Per-person debt is a context measure. It does not show income distribution, fiscal capacity, who holds the debt, or direct bill attribution.	CONDITIONAL MERGE ELIGIBLE AFTER HUMAN APPROVAL
NDD-MET-022	Federal debt held by the public as percent of federal receipts	589.5%	2025 Q4 debt / FY2025 receipts	+3.0 PP	2025 vs 2024	Worsening direction if debt-to-receipts burden rises.	FRED / U.S. Treasury Fiscal Service / OMB / Census/BEA population	Debt-to-receipts is a revenue-capacity context metric. It can change because debt rises, receipts fall, temporary revenues change, or the economy shifts.	CONDITIONAL MERGE ELIGIBLE AFTER HUMAN APPROVAL
NDD-MET-023	Gross federal debt as percent of federal receipts	0.7%	FY2025	-0.0 PP	2025 vs 2024	Worsening direction if gross debt-to-receipts burden rises.	FRED / OMB / Council of Economic Advisers	Gross debt includes intragovernmental holdings, so this should be treated as broader context and not a direct measure of market debt burden.	CONDITIONAL MERGE ELIGIBLE AFTER HUMAN APPROVAL

Boundary: These rows remain review-only until human approval. This cache does not merge them into the approved candidate display and does not activate scoring.