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Housing Metrics Promotion Candidate V1

Reviewer / Administrator Links: Housing Metrics Page Versions Review comparison page for prior Housing metrics pages and promotion candidates.
Status: Candidate Review Only. This page combines the stable 14 core Housing metrics with the four expansion metrics for review. It does not enable scoring, active rollup, issue grades, member scoring, or leaderboards.
Generated: 2026-05-19 12:10:41
Note: pp means percentage points. Red trend values indicate movement in the generally wrong direction or a caution signal based on the current metric interpretation.
Expected MetricsValues LoadedValues PendingTrends AvailableExpansion Metrics Ready for ReviewScoring Status
18180184 / 4Disabled

Trend notation: pp = percentage points. CHAS trend values for HOU-MET-001 through HOU-MET-003 are shown as absolute pp changes between overlapping CHAS releases, not annual single-year trends.

Promotion decision is intentionally separate from display. A metric can appear here and still remain review-only until source, formula, direction-of-improvement, limitation notes, and scoring treatment are approved.

Related review pages:
Stable Core Metrics V12 Expansion Metrics Summary Verification Checklist Source Registry

Core Metrics — Affordability / Cost Burden

Metric Metric Name Latest Value Observation Period Trend / Change Trend Window Trend Method / Limitation Direction of Improvement Status
HOU-MET-001 Renter Cost Burden Rate 45.5% 2018-2022 +0.46 pp 2017-2021 → 2018-2022 CHAS release-to-release change; overlapping ACS 5-year estimates; not a single-year annual trend. Trend is shown as a rounded percentage-point (pp) change in the CHAS rate. Lower is generally better; fewer renter households are cost-burdened. CANDIDATE_TREND_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-002 Severe Renter Cost Burden Rate 23.1% 2018-2022 +0.37 pp 2017-2021 → 2018-2022 CHAS release-to-release change; overlapping ACS 5-year estimates; not a single-year annual trend. Trend is shown as a rounded percentage-point (pp) change in the CHAS rate. Lower is generally better; fewer renter households are severely cost-burdened. CANDIDATE_TREND_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-003 Owner Cost Burden Rate 20.8% 2018-2022 +0.10 pp 2017-2021 → 2018-2022 CHAS release-to-release change; overlapping ACS 5-year estimates; not a single-year annual trend. Trend is shown as a rounded percentage-point (pp) change in the CHAS rate. Lower is generally better; fewer owner households are cost-burdened. CANDIDATE_TREND_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-006 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate 6.36% May 14, 2026 -0.40 pp May 8, 2025 → May 14, 2026 Absolute rate change from comparable prior period, shown in pp (percentage points), not as a relative percent change. Lower mortgage rates are generally better for payment affordability. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-007 Housing Affordability Index 110.6 index Apr 2026 -2.6% Mar 2026 → Apr 2026 Percent change from comparable prior-year observation in the local FRED cache. Higher affordability index is generally better. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED

Core Metrics — Market & Rent Pressure

Metric Metric Name Latest Value Observation Period Trend / Change Trend Window Trend Method / Limitation Direction of Improvement Status
HOU-MET-004 Median Sales Price of Houses Sold $403,200 Q1 2026 -4.7% Q1 2025 → Q1 2026 Percent change from comparable prior-year observation in the local FRED cache. Lower growth may improve purchase affordability; interpret with supply, income, and mortgage rates. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-005 Rent CPI / Rent Pressure Index 445.1 index
(1982-1984=100)		 Apr 2026 +2.8% Apr 2025 → Apr 2026 Percent change from comparable prior-year observation in the local FRED cache. Lower rent inflation is generally better for affordability. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-008 Rental Vacancy Rate 7.30% Q1 2026 +0.20 pp Q1 2025 → Q1 2026 Absolute rate change from comparable prior period, shown in pp (percentage points), not as a relative percent change. Interpret cautiously; too low can show shortage, too high can show weak demand. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED

Core Metrics — Supply

Metric Metric Name Latest Value Observation Period Trend / Change Trend Window Trend Method / Limitation Direction of Improvement Status
HOU-MET-009 Building Permits 1,363,000
units SAAR		 Mar 2026 -118,000 units SAAR (-8.0%) Mar 2025 → Mar 2026 Latest observation compared with the comparable prior-year observation from the local FRED cache. Higher permitting can indicate future supply growth; interpret with completions and demand. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-010 Housing Starts 1,502,000
units SAAR		 Mar 2026 +147,000 units SAAR (+10.8%) Mar 2025 → Mar 2026 Latest observation compared with the comparable prior-year observation from the local FRED cache. Higher starts can indicate supply response; interpret with completions and vacancy. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-011 Housing Completions 1,366,000
units SAAR		 Mar 2026 -200,000 units SAAR (-12.8%) Mar 2025 → Mar 2026 Latest observation compared with the comparable prior-year observation from the local FRED cache. Higher completions are generally better for near-term supply. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED

Core Metrics — Housing Insecurity / Stability

Metric Metric Name Latest Value Observation Period Trend / Change Trend Window Trend Method / Limitation Direction of Improvement Status
HOU-MET-012 Mortgage Delinquency Rate 1.78% Q4 2025 +0.01 pp Q4 2024 → Q4 2025 Absolute rate change from comparable prior period, shown in pp (percentage points), not as a relative percent change. Lower delinquency is generally better for housing stability. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-013 Point-in-Time Homelessness Count 771,480 people January 2024 PIT +118,376 people (+18.1%) January 2023 PIT → January 2024 PIT Year-over-year national PIT count comparison. PIT is a one-night January count and may undercount people not visible or not reached during the count. Lower homelessness is better. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-014 Unsheltered Homelessness Count 274,224 people January 2024 PIT +17,614 people (+6.9%) January 2023 PIT → January 2024 PIT Year-over-year national PIT unsheltered count comparison. Prior value is derived from HUD's reported 2024 unsheltered count and 2023-2024 change (+17,614 / +6.9%). Unsheltered PIT counts can vary by local count capacity and may undercount actual unsheltered homelessness. Lower unsheltered homelessness is better. CANDIDATE_VALUE_AVAILABLE_NOT_SCORED

Expansion Metrics — Candidate Promotion Review

Metric Metric Name Latest Value Observation Period Trend / Change Trend Window Trend Method / Limitation Direction of Improvement Status
HOU-MET-150 Annual Renter Cost Burden Trend 51.8% 2024 ACS 1-year +0.0 pp (+0.0%) 2023 ACS 1-year → 2024 ACS 1-year Annual ACS 1-year national estimate; rate change shown in pp, with relative percent change in parentheses. Margin-of-error treatment remains a review gate. Lower annual renter cost burden is better; expansion metric pending promotion review. EXPANSION_CANDIDATE_REVIEW_ONLY_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-160 Annual Owner Cost Burden Trend 23.6% 2024 ACS 1-year +0.2 pp (+1.0%) 2023 ACS 1-year → 2024 ACS 1-year Annual ACS 1-year national estimate; rate change shown in pp, with relative percent change in parentheses. Margin-of-error treatment remains a review gate. Lower annual owner cost burden is better; expansion metric pending promotion review. EXPANSION_CANDIDATE_REVIEW_ONLY_NOT_SCORED
HOU-MET-170 Rental Assistance Coverage Gap 8.46M unassisted VLI renter households with worst case needs 2023 AHS / HUD 2025 WCHN report -0.07M households (-0.8%) 2021 AHS → 2023 AHS HUD Worst Case Housing Needs report comparison: 8.53M households in 2021 to 8.46M households in 2023. Lower unmet rental-assistance need is better; expansion metric pending promotion review. EXPANSION_CANDIDATE_REVIEW_ONLY
HOU-MET-180 Eviction / Housing-Loss Risk Context 7.9% filing rate; 1.23M eviction filings in tracked sites 2025 Eviction Tracking System sites -0.02M filings (-1.6%); 2025 was -3.2% below post-pandemic average 2024 → 2025; compared with 2023–2024 average Eviction Lab ETS comparison: 1.25M filings in 2024 to 1.23M filings in 2025, plus comparison to post-pandemic average. Lower eviction filing pressure is better; expansion metric pending promotion review. EXPANSION_CANDIDATE_REVIEW_ONLY

Recommended Review Sequence

  1. Verify all 18 latest values and observation periods.
  2. Confirm trend/change values compare like-to-like periods.
  3. Confirm direction-of-improvement notes are correct and understandable.
  4. Decide whether HOU-MET-150/160/170/180 should become core, remain expansion/context, or become source-supporting metrics.
  5. Only after approval, prepare a controlled replacement candidate for index.ASPX.
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